EURAUD 1D - long signals then potential Butterfly

Why long?

• breakout of grey box - its up line will act now as kind of S/R (support resistance)
  
• this place was also 161.8% fibo (red AB)
  

My idea is

• price will go to another fibo level (result of measuring orange XA)
  
• pullback to S/R
  
• up to D point of butterfly
  
• then down for a while but no further than c.a. 1.45
  

Previously my idea was short, but we went to far to north... :) so I changed my mind...