Perfect short EUR/MXN

Downwards trendline, rejected at the 50 day moving average on the daily chart, the price is also at the 0.382 FB retracement point from the price high set 6 april to the price low 3 june. Looking at the broader picture it can consolidate around the 0.5 fib retracement point set in february to the april high before seeing more downside. EU countries are highly dependent on tourism while the MXN is very much tied to oil prices, seeing as oil is on the rise and tourism isn't going to boom anytime soon, I will be bullish on the Mexican peso.