Long EURNZD – Seasonal, Fundamentals & Technical Confluence

We are entering a long position on EURNZD, capitalizing on a powerful confluence of:

Seasonal EUR strength + NZD weakness (April 10 – May 15)

A clear bullish market structure (CHoCH, HH/HL)

A clean Fibonacci retracement entry at 0.5

Strong macro divergence, with NZD exogenous conditions deteriorating

Macro & Seasonal Context
EUR enters a strong seasonal uptrend from April 10 to end of month

NZD shows seasonal weakness from April 15 onward

NZD’s exogenous model score worsened to -12 in April

While NZD LEI and endo improved, it remains structurally weak

Timing
Best execution: on pullback to 1.9373 zone, ideally between April 10–15, aligned with seasonal entry window.