EUR/USD Outlook: Tariff Concerns and Key Technical Levels

EUR/USD is stable around 1.0360 during the Asian trading session, after rising in the previous session. The currency pair may face downward pressure due to President Donald Trump’s plan to impose reciprocal tariffs, which could affect major countries such as Japan, the EU, and China. The Euro faces challenges as the Eurozone is particularly vulnerable to tariffs from the US. Risk-averse sentiment has also increased, compounded by the cautious stance of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell regarding interest rate cuts.

From a technical analysis perspective, EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.0360 and is likely to encounter strong resistance at 1.0400. This is a key level, and if it is surpassed, the pair could continue to rise towards the next target of 1.0450. However, if the price fails to maintain above 1.0400, it is likely that EUR/USD will continue its downward adjustment.

The nearest support level is at 1.0331, which was previously resistance and could now act as a significant support level. If the price breaks this support, the pair could continue its downtrend and find lower levels at 1.0290.

Technical indicators suggest that momentum is weakening, and overbought levels on the hourly chart are gradually declining, indicating the potential for short-term correction. However, if EUR/USD maintains above 1.0400, the pair could return to an uptrend. Investors should keep an eye on signals from indicators such as RSI and MACD to track further changes in the pair’s price direction.