𝓔𝓾𝓻𝓸/𝓤.𝓢. 𝓓𝓸𝓵𝓵𝓪𝓻. 𝓛𝓸𝓷𝓰-𝓽𝓮𝓻𝓶 𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓮𝓬𝓪𝓼𝓽

2021年4月22日

●● Mine scenario
🕐1M
EURUSD

As usual, let's start with a description of the count of the highest degree. Quite a long time ago, I gave priority to a running Contracting Triangle, presumably in the wave (x). I don't like the ratio ② - ④ in time in the previously assumed diagonal.

🕐1W
EURUSD

The rise from March 2020 has a rather ambiguous structure, but if you do not be biased, discard the emotional component — the analyst's fear of falling behind his colleagues in the race for "who first predicted strong growth", be honest with your subscriber and first of all with yourself, then I will probably remain at my own — I will consider the ascending wave a zigzag and take into account the probability of the formation of ((B)) of d to a triangle.

🕐1D
EURUSD

The decline is expected to continue with the wave (C) of ((B)).

🕐4h
EURUSD

Surrealism continues. I do not see any possibility to decompose the descending wave from the top (B), except for a rare triple zigzag (see Loc. Alt.) or to assume the formation of an equally rare figure — an expanding Leading diagonal subdivided into zigzags. Due to the rarity of the model, I consider the current count to be extremely risky, the recommendation to short will only be made if (a)-(b)/(w)-(x) is formed as part of the expected ((v)) of A.

●● Loc. Alt.
🕐1D
EURUSD

As part of the local alternative, I consider the probability of continued growth by the wave (B) of ((B)).

🕐4h
EURUSD

In this case, we have to make a number of assumptions about the structure within the wave [a] of W. And then, as you have already noticed, a triple zigzag in X, and even with a disproportion ((x))-((xx)). However, in the case of a breakdown of the local descending channel and the top ((x)) of X, the "bull lvl" level, I will switch to searching for points in the long, with an eye to implementing one of the counts presented on a dark background.

●● Alternative scenario
🕐1W
EURUSD

The Global alt. count in the framework of the higher degree has not undergone significant changes, except that the wave ((X)) of c is expected in the form of a single zigzag with a diagonal in (C), and not a triangle, as was assumed in the review for the currency pair last year.

🕐1D
EURUSD



The wave marking in the double circle parenthesis corresponds to the green marking in the circle on the chart.