EURUSD bulls remain unconvinced despite recent rebound

EURUSD remains mildly bid within a 10-week-old bullish channel as market players seek more clues to justify the previous day’s strong US inflation report, as well as comforting comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde. That said, the 21-SMA and Thursday’s Doji prods the Euro bulls amid bearish MACD signals. Even if the pair buyers manage to cross the 1.0985 immediate SMA hurdle, November’s peak of around 1.1020 and the previous monthly high surrounding 1.1140 will test the upside momentum. Following that, the aforementioned channel’s top line, close to 1.1220 at the latest, will act as a tough nut to crack for the buyers.

Alternatively, the EURUSD pullback needs to defy the bullish channel formation by slipping beneath the 1.0910 support to convince sellers. Even so, the 200-SMA support of 1.0845 can challenge the Euro bears before giving them control. In that case, December’s bottom of 1.0723 and October’s peak of near 1.0700 will be the final defenses of the buyers ahead of directing prices toward the yearly low marked in October around 1.0450.

Overall, EURUSD manages to consolidate the previous weekly loss and defends the bullish chart formation but the recovery appears fishy and hence needs confirmation from 21-SMA.