Fundamental Backdrop 1. FX market has been very data driven. 2. Consumer confidence declined again in February, printing 102.9 compared to a forecast 108.5. 3. Along with the durable goods order printing -4.5% m/m compared to forecast, this resulted in heavy bullish momentum coming in on the EURUSD. 4. However, due to the strong economic resilience of the US, with retail sales previously printing very positively, and inflation remaining heightened, USD has further upside potential and EURUSD can continue heading down.
Technical Confluences 1. The overall bias for EURUSD is strong bearish and price can potentially create a new higher timeframe beyond 1.05327. 2. Price is on a retracement and have since partially corrected half of the bullish movement from Monday to Tuesday. 3. Price is still on a bearish trend, forming lower lows and lower highs. 4. Price has tested the resistance level at 1.0633 and bearish continuations ensued.
Idea I will be looking for price to possibly retest the resistance at 1.0595 before bearish movement continues and for price to potentially form a new low at 1.05327.
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