EUR/USD: Bearish Momentum Gathers Strength
In the 24-hour perspective, the EUR dropped to 1.0827 last Friday before rebounding and closing relatively unchanged at 1.0881 (-0.05%). As highlighted on Monday, although selling pressure seemed to ease, there was a possibility for the EUR to decline to 1.0810 before a potential sustained recovery. In New York trading, the EUR dipped to 1.0802 before staging a recovery. This time, the downward pressure has subsided, making it challenging for the EUR to weaken further. Today, the EUR is likely to trade within a broader range, possibly between 1.0800 and 1.0870.
Over the next 1-3 weeks, last Friday (December 1, spot rate at 1.0895), we observed a weakening upward momentum and a slight increase in the downward trend. We anticipated the EUR to "drop to 1.0810." As expected, the EUR reached a low of 1.0802 yesterday (December 4). Although the downward momentum has increased, it is not sufficient to indicate a sustained decline. The EUR must break and maintain below 1.0770 before the possibility of an extended downtrend. The likelihood of the EUR clearly breaking below 1.0770 is currently low, but it will persist unless the EUR surpasses the "strong resistance" at 1.0900 (yesterday's high was 1.0965).
Over the next 1-3 weeks, last Friday (December 1, spot rate at 1.0895), we observed a weakening upward momentum and a slight increase in the downward trend. We anticipated the EUR to "drop to 1.0810." As expected, the EUR reached a low of 1.0802 yesterday (December 4). Although the downward momentum has increased, it is not sufficient to indicate a sustained decline. The EUR must break and maintain below 1.0770 before the possibility of an extended downtrend. The likelihood of the EUR clearly breaking below 1.0770 is currently low, but it will persist unless the EUR surpasses the "strong resistance" at 1.0900 (yesterday's high was 1.0965).
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