JazzForex

GBPJPY: a Deep Bullish Crab in a Bearish Channel

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FX:GBPJPY   英鎊 / 日圓
This pair has been ranging in a 255 pip wide bearish channel on the 30M for the last 3 days and 18 hours. We can now see the contour of a 5-point extension structure taking shape: a deep bullish Crab pattern. The price comfortably passed the B point on its way towards the potential reversal zone (PRZ) and has progressed 75% on its way to completion point D. Main difference with the standard Crab pattern is the deep 886 B point retracement of the XA leg.

Price action can stall immediately after testing the PRZ and reverse considerably though it might exceed it slightly to test support at 175.55. I will look to enter the trade conservatively, upon signs of reversal within the zone. This means a decisively bullish candlestick must close (bullish engulfing, tweezer bottoms, hammer or white marubozu) before entering. SL goes 10 pips behind the next support level. TP1 = 382 retracement of AD and TP2 = 618 retracement of AD.

There are 216 pips on the line and the trade has an excellent reward – risk ratio of 8.4!

UPDATE: PA penetrated the reversal zone and tested all levels (without exceeding it) before reversing and hitting both TP1 and TP2.

You don´t need to be a weatherman to know which way the wind blows - B. Dylan
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