Pound-yen’s losses continue amid high volatility

Despite mostly positive data from the UK recently considering the circumstances, the yen remains relatively strong against the pound compared to much of the last quarter. Demand for havens is still high as trade wars between the USA and various other countries continue while participants widely expect the Bank of Japan to continue hiking rates moderately this year.

Pound-yen is normally among the most volatile forex majors but instability has been particularly high over the last few months compared to most of 2024. ¥185 seems to be a very strong zone of demand based on performance in the third quarter of 2024, but before that around ¥187.20 there seems to be a significant support which could resist testing. There’s no clear signal now from the slow stochastic, which is closer to neutral than overbought.

The value area between the 50 and 100 SMAs, ¥193-194, could be an important short-term resistance. The absence of top-tier data affecting GBPJPY in the next few days makes picking a position here more challenging, so waiting for confirmation of a break or bounce from ¥189 might make sense.

This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.