With the price moving below both the Bollinger Bands and the SMA. The expansion of the Bollinger Bands indicates that volatility is increasing, a typical sign in a deep downtrend.
The pair has been in a downtrend since October, with new lows being set continuously. The closest support level we can observe is around 1.25730, which the price has recently touched. A break of this level could lead to a further decline, while a positive reaction here could provide an opportunity for a short-term technical recovery.
In the current market environment, based on what I see from the charts and my understanding of the economic factors affecting GBP/USD, my personal view is that the downtrend of the pair is likely to continue. The increased volatility and the price continuously setting new lows are clear signs that selling pressure is taking over.
I expect that any price recovery will likely be quickly sold off in the current downtrend. Upcoming economic events and policy statements from Central Banks may provide additional data to assess the pair's outlook in more detail, and I will continue to monitor closely and adjust my trading strategy accordingly.
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