Next week, there are two main focuses regarding to GBPUSD :
- BoE Minutes + UK Unemployment Rate + Claimant Count Change
- FOMC Minutes
Both are relieved on Wednesday.
There is 80% possibility that FED would taper $10 bln, and this would benefit for USD.
However, I don’t know surely about UK economic data. It could be positive or negative.
So How to position ?.
I will place a SELL Limit at 1.6713
If UK data give positive data, GBPUSD would test 1.6713, the SELL Limit order is activated, and the FOMC Minutes would drive GBPUSD to be lower as I expect.
If UK data give negative data + fuel from FOMC Minutes , Sterling would be sold drastically .
Currently, GBPUSD is trapped in the range between 1.678 and 1.658
I think GBPUSD would reject this range this week; the problem is uptrend or downtrend.
In the worst scene, UK economic data are positive, and FOMC Minutes keeps unchanged monetary policy, no cut QE more, no one could save USD, but I think it’s 10% possibility.
If everything occur exactly with my forecast: GBPUSD couldn’t hold 1.658 level; it will jump to 1.647 level.
- BoE Minutes + UK Unemployment Rate + Claimant Count Change
- FOMC Minutes
Both are relieved on Wednesday.
There is 80% possibility that FED would taper $10 bln, and this would benefit for USD.
However, I don’t know surely about UK economic data. It could be positive or negative.
So How to position ?.
I will place a SELL Limit at 1.6713
If UK data give positive data, GBPUSD would test 1.6713, the SELL Limit order is activated, and the FOMC Minutes would drive GBPUSD to be lower as I expect.
If UK data give negative data + fuel from FOMC Minutes , Sterling would be sold drastically .
Currently, GBPUSD is trapped in the range between 1.678 and 1.658
I think GBPUSD would reject this range this week; the problem is uptrend or downtrend.
In the worst scene, UK economic data are positive, and FOMC Minutes keeps unchanged monetary policy, no cut QE more, no one could save USD, but I think it’s 10% possibility.
If everything occur exactly with my forecast: GBPUSD couldn’t hold 1.658 level; it will jump to 1.647 level.