This looks like the beginning of WAVE 3, remember within a wave there will be 5 waves so we will see up down up down up all the way to wave three.... all Elliot wave time frames show very strong bullish, short, mid, and long. Time to eat.
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A REAL VALUATION PERSPECTIVE:Valutations = CASH AVAILABLE TO SHAREHOLDERS X PE MULTPLE or DIVIDED BY DISCOUNT RATE (1/PE):
Use their old ebitda margin, off of their sales right now, 8%.... be conservative use 5%, assume e-commerce growth at 20% (conservative) - they are actually grew triple digits.... and the other 2/3 of revenue -7-8% (conservative), 10-15% reinvestment project 5 years with terminal value.... discount rate 1/15 - 1/50 - just say 8%...... yeah bud.... $200 up to $1000 depending on discount rate..... very easy bro. EBITDA + Non Cash - Reinvestment = Cash Available To Share Holdes.... X PE multiple or divided by discount rate (1/PE)
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I expect this third wave to be powerful and by end of year trading within the range that I mentioned about.... it's a large range because it depends on what PE ration you use 15,20, 50, 80? This is where we see FANG and other growth stocks at....Also not sure about reinvesmment % - they may or may not need money to transform their business
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IMPORTANT: Guys I would strongly recommend that you review my latest idea which shows two scenarios both have same end game, but different ways to get there
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