JoeOddlots

Gold Potential short entry soon.

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TVC:GOLD   黃金差價合約(美元/盎司)
After breaking out of the monthly downtrend( market by red trend line ) in Aug of 2019 Gold has returned 25%

Is possible that Gold will find resistance on old ATH(all time high) and resistance of channel 2 around $1900

Upon a rejection from this resistance a short position might be profitable untill $1500( conservatively)

SInce Gold is a horrible hedge against market gyrations and possible sell offs, Gold falling beyond the 50% retracement ( if it comes down ) could indicate a further decline in equities.

As long as the 50MA holds on the monthly chart , we could esipulate a possible cup and handle formation on the monthly chart with resistance of channel 2 acting as the handle( that's a chart for another day )

Although we still believe that GOLD has around 8% upside a bullish trade here doesn't justify the risk.

So for now we will wait untill $1900 is rejected and tested ( at least on the weekly chart) before we start shorting it.

On our chart we have $1500 as a target area for around 2022..but with elevated volatility $1500 could come in much sooner than expected( if it does at all)

Our main objective is to short Gold to $1500 but stay rather conservative and only take short trades from resistance of channel 2 to limit any potential downside on our trade.

So, as the days passes the resistance of channels will change to the downside and a trader must adjust accordingly, be aware and flexible on his approach.

Although these numbers may or may not come to fruition , please keep in mind these are perceived support and resistance based on our strategy and may differ from other traders.

Have fun and trade with care.

R.I.P












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