Despite all the negative news around LUMN, negative cash flow, negative EBITDA and finally negative outlook from market analysts, LUMN remains a pioneer in data infrastructure and fiber provider in the US market + the market cap ($1.5B) is far below it is total equity fair value (
10B
).
in other words, the fair price to the current situation is around 7 time the current stock price with negative outlook, this can be reduced by 50% which means 3,5 * 1,4 == around $5. (this is my personal analysis taking the worst financials case of LUMN for the next 4 quarters).
The weekly and monthly charts show continues sell off with possible accumulation phase just started, in the coming months this can be confirmed if we see price stabilization around $1 and volume remains high.
As per Fintel data, the institutional ownership percentage is dropping for the (at least) second quarter in a row.
This is an opportunity to target 2026/2027 at least, less then 5% of the capital to be allocated.
return may exceed 1000% (not guaranteed in shorter term), loss of 100% is highly possible if the new CEO fails to save the company + worst debt with higher yields.
Position open, target price $10.
Good luck everyone :)
in other words, the fair price to the current situation is around 7 time the current stock price with negative outlook, this can be reduced by 50% which means 3,5 * 1,4 == around $5. (this is my personal analysis taking the worst financials case of LUMN for the next 4 quarters).
The weekly and monthly charts show continues sell off with possible accumulation phase just started, in the coming months this can be confirmed if we see price stabilization around $1 and volume remains high.
As per Fintel data, the institutional ownership percentage is dropping for the (at least) second quarter in a row.
This is an opportunity to target 2026/2027 at least, less then 5% of the capital to be allocated.
return may exceed 1000% (not guaranteed in shorter term), loss of 100% is highly possible if the new CEO fails to save the company + worst debt with higher yields.
Position open, target price $10.
Good luck everyone :)
交易進行:
CALL Jan 16 '26 position open