Bond yields serve as a leading indicator of economic performance, with major headwinds in the form of inflation and labor shortages, short-term yields have begun to invert demanding higher premiums than longer-term bonds.
As the bond market moves in anticipation, volatility increases and serves as a signal to the broader economy.
MOVE provides a benchmark with bond market volatility, with an uptrend and spikes nearing Feb/Mar 2020.
The chart presents measurements going back to lat 2002, reflecting a dramatic uptick in volatility as the housing market collapsed in 2008.
The uptrend reflected now is serving as another warning to the markets that turbulent times lay ahead.
As the bond market moves in anticipation, volatility increases and serves as a signal to the broader economy.
The chart presents measurements going back to lat 2002, reflecting a dramatic uptick in volatility as the housing market collapsed in 2008.
The uptrend reflected now is serving as another warning to the markets that turbulent times lay ahead.
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