Market Structure & Price Action
MSTR has recently formed multiple Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) signals, suggesting a power struggle between bulls and bears. The chart currently shows price climbing into a descending trendline and pressing right up against key resistance near the $307 zone after rejecting the CHoCH zone from below.
* BOS confirms bullish intent, but it's climbing within a falling wedge, creating a potential breakout setup.
* Support held strong at $272 and $281, forming a higher low structure with growing bullish momentum.
Trendlines
* The falling wedge pattern is a bullish reversal pattern. Price is nearing the apex—expect volatility and potential breakout in either direction.
* A breakout above $307 with strong volume could trigger a squeeze toward $320–$344.
* Breakdown below the rising trendline near $297 could invite downside liquidity grabs.
Indicators Analysis
* MACD is showing bullish cross momentum, but it’s flattening—momentum is not strong yet.
* Stoch RSI is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a short-term pullback could occur before a true breakout.
Key Levels
* Support: $297 / $281 / $272
* Resistance: $307 / $320 / $344
* Reversal Zone: $272–$281 demand zone still valid if price drops.
Options GEX Sentiment
* GEX Walls are stacked around $325 and $344, signaling heavy call positioning—possible magnet if momentum confirms.
* IVR: 25.7 (low but rising)
* Call%: 42.6%
* IVx vs Avg IVx: +9.23% suggests bullish bets are heating up.
* GEX: Green across the board — bullish gamma tilt.
This GEX alignment suggests a call-dominant environment, especially above $307, increasing the probability of a gamma squeeze toward $320+ if bulls sustain pressure.
Trade Ideas
* Bullish Scenario: Long above $307 breakout with volume. Targets: $320, $344.
* Bearish Scenario: Short below $297 breakdown or wick rejection at $307. Targets: $281 / $272.
Conclusion MSTR is coiling at resistance with bullish signals building. If it breaks $307 with volume, there’s room for a sharp move higher supported by strong call walls and GEX. However, fading momentum or a fakeout at this level can lead to a pullback to $281 or lower.
📌 Watch the volume and MACD for confirmation before entering either side.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
* BOS confirms bullish intent, but it's climbing within a falling wedge, creating a potential breakout setup.
* Support held strong at $272 and $281, forming a higher low structure with growing bullish momentum.
Trendlines
* The falling wedge pattern is a bullish reversal pattern. Price is nearing the apex—expect volatility and potential breakout in either direction.
* A breakout above $307 with strong volume could trigger a squeeze toward $320–$344.
* Breakdown below the rising trendline near $297 could invite downside liquidity grabs.
Indicators Analysis
* MACD is showing bullish cross momentum, but it’s flattening—momentum is not strong yet.
* Stoch RSI is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a short-term pullback could occur before a true breakout.
Key Levels
* Support: $297 / $281 / $272
* Resistance: $307 / $320 / $344
* Reversal Zone: $272–$281 demand zone still valid if price drops.
Options GEX Sentiment
* GEX Walls are stacked around $325 and $344, signaling heavy call positioning—possible magnet if momentum confirms.
* IVR: 25.7 (low but rising)
* Call%: 42.6%
* IVx vs Avg IVx: +9.23% suggests bullish bets are heating up.
* GEX: Green across the board — bullish gamma tilt.
This GEX alignment suggests a call-dominant environment, especially above $307, increasing the probability of a gamma squeeze toward $320+ if bulls sustain pressure.
Trade Ideas
* Bullish Scenario: Long above $307 breakout with volume. Targets: $320, $344.
* Bearish Scenario: Short below $297 breakdown or wick rejection at $307. Targets: $281 / $272.
Conclusion MSTR is coiling at resistance with bullish signals building. If it breaks $307 with volume, there’s room for a sharp move higher supported by strong call walls and GEX. However, fading momentum or a fakeout at this level can lead to a pullback to $281 or lower.
📌 Watch the volume and MACD for confirmation before entering either side.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
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這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。