MSTR at Decision Zone! TA for July 16

GEX + Price Structure Align for Breakout or Breakdown 🔸

🧠 GEX Levels & Options Sentiment (as of July 15, 2025)
* ⚠️ Key Call Resistance Levels:
• $460 (3rd Call Wall, 92.2%)
• $455 (58.41%)
• $447.5 (GEX10)
• $444.5 (GEX7) – overhead friction
* PUT Support Levels:
• $442.5 (near current price)
• $435 (Gamma Wall: highest positive NET GEX)
* Support Structure: Strong GEX support at $435
* Current IVR: 11.2 (extremely low)
* IVx Avg: 65.1
* Call Flow: 🚀 66.4% Call $ flow — strong bullish bias
* GEX Directional Lean: Bullish-neutral, but decision point is here

💡 Option Strategy Ideas:
* If MSTR holds above $444 → Target $447.5 and $455
• Play: Buy 445c or 450c (weekly expiry)
• Risk: < $442.50 closes
* If MSTR breaks $442 → Watch for slide to $435
• Play: Buy 440p or 435p
• Risk: Tight stop above $444.50 retest

📉 1H Chart Technical Analysis & Trade Plan

* Market Structure:
• Bullish channel still intact, but CHoCH just printed below $443
• Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) above $444 and $448.5
• Supply zone between $445–$447 acting as resistance
• Price is testing demand around $440–$442.5 (important junction)
* Trendlines: Price currently bouncing along the lower channel boundary
* Demand Zone: $428–$435 is the major support base
* If CHoCH holds and price fails to reclaim $445 → we could see a deeper retrace into $435
* If bulls reclaim and hold $445 → breakout toward $447.5 → $455 is likely

🔁 Intraday Scenarios for Tuesday (July 16):
* Scalp Long above $445.5
• Target: $447.5, $455
• Stop: below $443
* Scalp Put below $442
• Target: $435
• Stop: Above $444.50

🔚 Final Thoughts:
MSTR is at a make-or-break level, sandwiched between a GEX friction zone and key price structure support. Keep risk tight — this setup can move quickly.

This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.