The last few candles show a sustained sell-off followed by a brief recovery below the short term trend line (white dotted line).
Will natural gas follow the end of day recovery and go back over $2?
I see 2 scenarios here:
1) The price closes over $2.03 on Monday and tests $2.15 this week
2) The price breaches $1.84 and starts a new descending channel between $1.68 and $2.02
My long term trend line (red dashed line) suggests $1.34 is possible, which boggles my mind, but anything is possible if inventories continue to build and our winters continue to be mild on average.
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My goal is to keep tabs on Natural Gas Futures to hopefully find the bottom before a bullish reversal. However, I am not currently playing NatGas as I believe it will stay suppressed until production is shown to have meaningful decreases. Fracking bans, regulations, etc can impact prices but I don't have a crystal ball and will simply follow the market as it happens.
*** Note: I draw my trend lines on a daily line chart as line charts are easier to see then switch to candles since candles illustrate the price action much clearer. A few pennies here and there don't concern me as I am a swing trader.
Will natural gas follow the end of day recovery and go back over $2?
I see 2 scenarios here:
1) The price closes over $2.03 on Monday and tests $2.15 this week
2) The price breaches $1.84 and starts a new descending channel between $1.68 and $2.02
My long term trend line (red dashed line) suggests $1.34 is possible, which boggles my mind, but anything is possible if inventories continue to build and our winters continue to be mild on average.
----
My goal is to keep tabs on Natural Gas Futures to hopefully find the bottom before a bullish reversal. However, I am not currently playing NatGas as I believe it will stay suppressed until production is shown to have meaningful decreases. Fracking bans, regulations, etc can impact prices but I don't have a crystal ball and will simply follow the market as it happens.
*** Note: I draw my trend lines on a daily line chart as line charts are easier to see then switch to candles since candles illustrate the price action much clearer. A few pennies here and there don't concern me as I am a swing trader.