Bearish NASDAQ (US100) to Continue in Longer Term

Based on the upcoming fundamental news such as Non-farm Payroll (NFP) today and CPI news next week, I would think NQ would be bearish with higher probability to follow yellow path.

I am hoping i was wrong, but given the recent geo-political news such as OPEC+ is reducing the oil output, it will drive price of goods to continue to go up, giving more pressure for higher inflation, and fed will try to slow inflation down by increasing interest rates more if there were no strategic initiative by US government to relieve the concerning situation.
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