Thesis
Weekly uptrend intact. Price is extended; next decision is breakout vs. consolidation near highs. We are next to the end of the long term bull trend.
Context
200WMA is rising and aligns with major support near 440 (long-term mean reversion / reset zone).
What I see
- Prior stress phases reverted toward the 200WMA (2022 and early 2025).
- Current structure is a rising consolidation near highs (compression).
What matters now
- Continuation remains favored while price holds above key trend support ($600 on chart).
- A clean weekly expansion above the consolidation keeps upside structure intact.
Buy / Accumulation zone
- Long-term accumulation zone: $440 area (200WMA + horizontal support confluence).
Targets
- Extension reference: 2.618 Fib $720s (measured upside within current structure).
Weekly uptrend intact. Price is extended; next decision is breakout vs. consolidation near highs. We are next to the end of the long term bull trend.
Context
200WMA is rising and aligns with major support near 440 (long-term mean reversion / reset zone).
What I see
- Prior stress phases reverted toward the 200WMA (2022 and early 2025).
- Current structure is a rising consolidation near highs (compression).
What matters now
- Continuation remains favored while price holds above key trend support ($600 on chart).
- A clean weekly expansion above the consolidation keeps upside structure intact.
Buy / Accumulation zone
- Long-term accumulation zone: $440 area (200WMA + horizontal support confluence).
Targets
- Extension reference: 2.618 Fib $720s (measured upside within current structure).
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