SPX is in decision mode

Im always honest with my homework, I dont like to have several counts to be always right.

At this point Im seeing both scenarios:

1 - We break the orange trendline and we are off the races to 3900-4000 (not preferred)
2 - We break 3500 or Oct 2nd low, we see 3380-3410 at min!

I'm in lower lows camp, as you know. But the window for the strong move down to start is just almost out, has to start tomorrow!

- The bull flag noted on the chart cant be unnoticeable! If it breaks, that's it for lower levels until Midterms!
- On the bear side, we have perfect H&S as well as the price being so weak and bounces being so muted, its ready for the crash to start, it just needs a little help to push the markets off the cliff!
Will we have that catalysis? I bet yes, the question is when!

Will repeat again, November is a panic month. Can be an avalanche of events! War, elections, bonds going off the roof, all the economic issues around the globe.

My conclusion here is this:
- Im net short, I will flip if we get above that trendline shown on the chart and enter on re test. I dont want to do it as it will cost me in stop losses
- Im not adding to short till we break 3500 or Oct 2nd lows!
- If we break, we will see 3380-3410 and then should have a good bounce to 3500, then it will be another perfect show for a move down to at least 3200-10!

Have a good night everyone!


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