S&P 500 USD - Black Tuesday

已更新
A crash is coming in the stock market in the following days: probably this week or maybe next week.

The last intermediate cycle lasted for 80 bars and ended on the 16.06.2022.
The new intermediate cycle rallied to the 200 SMA then dropped into the DCL on the 9th Sept. The new daily cycle is only on day 14 - we are in this daily cycle - and it is close to the support of 3634...

If we we are having the same length of intermediate cycle like the last one then we are going to break 3634 this week and drop to 2962.
If we are having a longer intermediate cycle ( 100-120 bars) then we are going to bounce from here for a few days and break 3634 a few days later sometimes next week.

As the dollar seems to working to print its multi year top these days there is a good chance that the support zone is going to break tomorrow or Wednesday this week.
註釋
Testing 3634 again.
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We are at the cusp of the breakdown
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Playing out as expected. We might have a big crash this week…
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I have started to short The dollar today and will post a new idea regarding dollar shorts.
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Beyond Technical AnalysisEconomic CyclesS&P 500 (SPX500)spx500analysisspx500forecastspx500shortUS SPX 500Support and Resistance

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