SPY Impulse Waves Down

2020年3月18日

Pretty clear waves can be seen here. I've had SPY $200 6/30 for a few weeks and it's pretty easy to not sell with such a clear picture seen.

I don't believe the first red downtrend will hold for wave 4, wave 4 seems more likely to take a couple weeks and test the second downtrend line. For this reason I would take wave 4 location with a grain of salt.

That said, I believe the wave 5 should easily hit the area indicated.

2020年3月25日

註釋

Wave 3 went for another run down to the 2.272 and now appears to be forming wave 4 - this is being fueled by the optimism of the fed "bailout everyone" play. Once that news passes and the bad news stacks up.. wave 5 is gonna drill hard.

2020年3月26日

註釋

Entering historic support zone, appears to be acting as resistance now

2020年3月31日

註釋

"Wave four is typically clearly corrective. Prices may meander sideways for an extended period, and wave four typically retraces less than 38.2% of wave three"
Check, check, and check.
"Volume is well below than that of wave three."
Check.