SPY Gamma Squeeze Fading – Key Put Wall Battles Ahead

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🧨 GEX Options Sentiment (TanukiTrade GEX Chart)
* Current Price: 619.91
* Major Support Wall:
* GEX Cluster Support: 618 → 617 (Highest Negative Net GEX + 3rd PUT Wall)
* Additional GEX Floor: 616.37 (PUT support overlap with SMC zone)
* Resistance Levels:
* 625.34 → First CALL Wall
* 627 → 2nd CALL Wall
* 630 → Top of CALL Gamma Resistance
* Put Wall Dominance:
* GEX7–GEX10 blocks show heavy negative pressure (-47% to -66%) centered between 617–620
* Options Flow Insight:
* PUTS OI: 41.9% – Signaling downside hedges are still dominant
* IVR: 15.3 (low), IVX avg: 18.2 – Implied volatility suggests premium selling could get tricky unless directional trend returns
🔸 Interpretation:
This is a “put-heavy zone” — large GEX support clusters below price (617–618) are temporarily halting further drop, but unless SPY can reclaim 625.34, there's still gamma-driven downside risk.

🟢 1-Hour SMC Price Action
快照
* Recent Structure:
* BOS confirmed → 626.27
* CHoCH to downside below 620 → confirmed rejection
* Current Setup:
* Price is hovering at minor demand between 617–620
* If 616.37 breaks, it opens room toward SMC demand zone at 604–606
* Strong resistance overhead at 625–627 (OB + GEX call wall + CHoCH retest)
🔸 Scenario 1 – Bullish Reclaim:
* Entry: Above 621
* Target: 625.34 → 627
* Stop: Below 616.00
* Setup: Break/retest of CHoCH + reclaim trendline
🔸 Scenario 2 – Bearish Breakdown:
* Entry: Below 616.37
* Target: 606 → 600
* Stop: Above 620
* Setup: Breakdown from demand + confirmed CHoCH retest

📌 Thoughts & Recommendations:
* Scalpers: Watch 620.50–621.00 as intraday pivot.
* If reclaimed, we may see short squeeze into 625–627
* Below 616.37, put flows will likely accelerate
* Swing Traders: Bearish bias unless 625.34 flips → consider spreads or directional puts
* Neutral Edge: This is a gamma battle zone — don’t overcommit, let price pick a side

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade based on your risk profile and always use a stop-loss.

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