SPY S&P 500 ETF Potential W-Shaped Recovery Forming

We may be witnessing the formation of a W-shaped recovery on the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – a classic double-bottom structure that often signals a strong reversal after a period of correction or volatility. Let’s dive into the technicals and what this could mean in the sessions ahead.

🔍 The Technical Setup:
SPY recently tested key support around the $485-$500 zone, bouncing off that area twice in the past few weeks. This gives us the left leg of the W and the first bottom. After a modest relief rally to ~$520, we saw another pullback – but this second dip failed to break below the first bottom, a hallmark of the W-pattern.

As of today, SPY is starting to reclaim ground toward the $517-$520 resistance zone. If bulls can push through this neckline area, especially with volume confirmation, we could see a breakout that targets the $530-$535 area in the short term.

🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $490-$500 (double-bottom support zone)

Neckline/Resistance: $530

Breakout Target: $550 (previous highs)

Invalidation: A break below $490 with volume could invalidate the W-recovery idea and shift bias bearish.

📊 Momentum & Volume:
RSI is climbing back above the 50 level – bullish momentum building.

MACD shows a potential crossover forming, hinting at a shift in trend.

Watch for increasing buy volume as SPY approaches the neckline – that’s where the bulls will need to step up.

🧠 Macro & Earnings Angle:
Don’t forget – we’re entering a heavy earnings season and rate cut expectations are still a wildcard. A dovish tone from the Fed and strong corporate results could be the fuel that sends SPY higher to complete this W-shaped recovery.

🧭 Final Thoughts:
This is a high-probability setup if neckline resistance is broken cleanly. Wait for confirmation before going heavy – fakeouts are common in double-bottom scenarios. If we do get the breakout, we may be looking at a broader market rebound going into summer.

🔔 Set alerts near $525. A confirmed breakout could mean the bulls are back in charge.