TSLA 2021 fractal points to a 540 to 800 range for 3Q2022

2022年6月23日

Don’t expect TSLA to break above 800 in the very short future. If we take the May 2021 yellow box fractal as a guide, the volatility range this 3Q will be between 540 & 800 or even until Oct or Nov of 2022.
WHY LOOKING BEARISH: Even Elon himself is preparing for a downturn by reducing labor force. On the technical side, since breaking below 800 in early May2022, TSLA has just been pivoting around the 700 zone unable to recover 800 but instead, it is making lower highs & lower lows this whole June.
My M-pattern scenario might still play out with the bottom coming at around 540 or even 420. (I just have a hunch Elon will defend the 542 zone with his illogical TWTR offer price also at 54.20 per share). My maximum pain level of 420 happens to be a 1.618 retracement of the wave B rally. Ending this ABC correction will start wave 5, probably to do a melt-up top before recession kicks in in 2023.
EV may be a shortterm solution for current fuel crisis but the chip shortage & charging infrastructure are still headwinds. The expensive cost of EV & EV batteries is also delaying a migration from gasoline & diesel vehicles.
Not trading advice