Here we have a historical chart showing what will likely be obvious in 2 quarters. The chart bats 100% on the issue but not on the resolution. As you can see with LTCM and the Bhat crisis in the late 90s. This chart is great for signaling when to risk-off, it does not signal risk on, for that I use the
BXY . The way I play the waiting game after going risk off is exposure to
IVOL
IEF
GLD
TLT
UUP
Cheers,
Cheers,
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