⚖️ 
US100 Fundamental Impact today
• The core driver is the US CPI (inflation) + Unemployment Claims at 3:30 pm.
• Expect increased volatility on NAS100 around that time:
• ✅ Lower CPI + weaker jobs → Bullish NAS100 (rate cut hopes).
• ❌ Higher CPI + strong jobs → Bearish NAS100 (higher for longer Fed).
1. Bearish Continuation (Main Scenario)
• Rejection from the bearish FVG + BB zone → downside continuation.
• Targeting:
• 23,750 short-term liquidity sweep.
• Then 23,700–23,650 (discount FVG).
• Extended target: 23,540 (major discount PD array).
2. Deeper Retracement / Liquidity Sweep (Alternative Scenario)
• Price might push slightly above the bearish FVG / BB zone (~23,900–23,930) to sweep late shorts.
• Then reversal down, same targets as scenario 1.
3. Bullish Recovery (Less Likely for Now)
• If price reclaims above 23,950–24,000, structure shifts bullish again.
• Potential revisit of 24,100+ liquidity above the HH.
⸻
⚖️ Bias
• For now, bias is bearish unless 23,950–24,000 is broken with strength.
• Volume histogram also shows selling momentum increasing after the rejection.
US100 Fundamental Impact today• The core driver is the US CPI (inflation) + Unemployment Claims at 3:30 pm.
• Expect increased volatility on NAS100 around that time:
• ✅ Lower CPI + weaker jobs → Bullish NAS100 (rate cut hopes).
• ❌ Higher CPI + strong jobs → Bearish NAS100 (higher for longer Fed).
1. Bearish Continuation (Main Scenario)
• Rejection from the bearish FVG + BB zone → downside continuation.
• Targeting:
• 23,750 short-term liquidity sweep.
• Then 23,700–23,650 (discount FVG).
• Extended target: 23,540 (major discount PD array).
2. Deeper Retracement / Liquidity Sweep (Alternative Scenario)
• Price might push slightly above the bearish FVG / BB zone (~23,900–23,930) to sweep late shorts.
• Then reversal down, same targets as scenario 1.
3. Bullish Recovery (Less Likely for Now)
• If price reclaims above 23,950–24,000, structure shifts bullish again.
• Potential revisit of 24,100+ liquidity above the HH.
⸻
⚖️ Bias
• For now, bias is bearish unless 23,950–24,000 is broken with strength.
• Volume histogram also shows selling momentum increasing after the rejection.
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