美國政府債券10年期收益
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10 Yr Yields About to Break?

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When looking at the 10 Yr Yield chart, the price is currently sitting at a key area of support. A breakdown of that support could lead to a massive move to the downside. This would be enough to send equities and commodities soaring.

A bounce from here should take yields right up to two big areas of resistance - first, the recent high around 1.75 and long term resistance at ~1.98-2.00. A breakout of those levels, although highly unlikely, would signal the market actually pricing in rate hikes in the near future. If that were to happen, I'm also assuming equities and commodities would not like that one bit.

Another probable scenario is a temporary bounce up towards the resistance areas, followed by a rejection of those levels. Then, the most logical place for price to move would be down, down, down.

Don't underestimate how important this move in the US10Y will be for equities and commodities, regardless of which direction it will be.

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This big bull-flag is looking like it wants to break soon. Just waiting for signal from the Fed meeting this week?

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