The US 10-Year Treasury Yield, which dropped as low as 4.16% in February, has staged a modest recovery after finding technical support at that level—a move highlighted in our March 3 analysis.
However, yields now face a significant hurdle: a 5-month major resistance zone, sitting just below 4.40%. This area has historically acted as a pivot for medium-term direction.
A successful breakout above this resistance could lead to a move toward 4.44%, 4.47%, and possibly 4.52%.
On the flip side, a failure to break higher puts yields at risk of rolling over again, with 4.22% and 4.16% acting as the last lines of defence for the bullish structure.
However, yields now face a significant hurdle: a 5-month major resistance zone, sitting just below 4.40%. This area has historically acted as a pivot for medium-term direction.
A successful breakout above this resistance could lead to a move toward 4.44%, 4.47%, and possibly 4.52%.
On the flip side, a failure to break higher puts yields at risk of rolling over again, with 4.22% and 4.16% acting as the last lines of defence for the bullish structure.
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