📈 US10Y: Treasury Yields Are About to Explode Higher
Longing bonds was the consensus trade heading into 2025. Everyone expected a “flight to safety” as equities tanked, but guess what? Bonds have been a massive disappointment. Instead, Bitcoin and Gold have stolen that narrative—who saw that coming?
But here’s the real kicker…
The 10-Year Treasury Yield is now forming a textbook Wyckoff Distribution Schematic #2, and we’re entering Phase B with a potential Upthrust (UT) forming. That means yields could be gearing up for a massive breakout, putting serious pressure on leveraged bond bulls.
My projection?
We’re heading to the 2.272–2.414 Trend-Based Fib Extension, targeting 5.53% to 6.42%. That’s a multi-decade high in yields.
If you’re holding bonds with leverage...
🔥 You might want to sleep with one eye open.
And no—this isn’t about the Fed, or politics, or CPI print tea leaves. Fundamentals don’t lead—technicals do.
Longing bonds was the consensus trade heading into 2025. Everyone expected a “flight to safety” as equities tanked, but guess what? Bonds have been a massive disappointment. Instead, Bitcoin and Gold have stolen that narrative—who saw that coming?
But here’s the real kicker…
The 10-Year Treasury Yield is now forming a textbook Wyckoff Distribution Schematic #2, and we’re entering Phase B with a potential Upthrust (UT) forming. That means yields could be gearing up for a massive breakout, putting serious pressure on leveraged bond bulls.
My projection?
We’re heading to the 2.272–2.414 Trend-Based Fib Extension, targeting 5.53% to 6.42%. That’s a multi-decade high in yields.
If you’re holding bonds with leverage...
🔥 You might want to sleep with one eye open.
And no—this isn’t about the Fed, or politics, or CPI print tea leaves. Fundamentals don’t lead—technicals do.
交易進行
Zooming into the smaller timeframes, we can see that US10Y bottomed at the 1:1 Trend Based Fib Extension, and is printing a very tidy bullish descending channel.
註釋
Crypto updates coming in the next few hours! However, 2nd warning to leveraged bond bulls. Get ready for the pain! Clean break and retest of the bullish descending channel for the US10Y. Yields looking hot! Watch out bond bulls!
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這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。