The 10-year Treasury yield recently failed at the critical resistance level of 4.38%, previously highlighted as a significant pivot. On the daily chart, the yield formation now resembles a potential head-and-shoulders reversal pattern, which would have profound implications if completed.
Immediate Supports: Crucial Support lies at 4.30, followed closely by 4.22 and 4.16. A breakdown through these levels would solidify a bearish reversal, targeting declines to the psychological levels at 4.00% and potentially down to 3.90%.
Yield Consequences: A substantial yield decline typically signals mounting recession fears, negatively affecting investor confidence, driving volatility (VIX) higher, and accelerating equity market losses.
Immediate Supports: Crucial Support lies at 4.30, followed closely by 4.22 and 4.16. A breakdown through these levels would solidify a bearish reversal, targeting declines to the psychological levels at 4.00% and potentially down to 3.90%.
Yield Consequences: A substantial yield decline typically signals mounting recession fears, negatively affecting investor confidence, driving volatility (VIX) higher, and accelerating equity market losses.
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