I was curious what patterns I could find on the US10Y log chart and I found this massive 40 year long parallel channel.
As you can see, yields stayed inside the channel for 40 yrs, but it dropped below every time there was a financial crisis or issue.
Yields have always re-entered the channel. Maybe I am not experienced with yields enough, but I have a hard time believing the FED can fix this issue without expanding their asset purchases to astronomical amounts.
Focusing on price action, it looks like rates are going up in a parabolic fashion, trying to revert to the mean. MACD is also flipping bullish on the monthly.
Just my opinion, good luck.
As you can see, yields stayed inside the channel for 40 yrs, but it dropped below every time there was a financial crisis or issue.
Yields have always re-entered the channel. Maybe I am not experienced with yields enough, but I have a hard time believing the FED can fix this issue without expanding their asset purchases to astronomical amounts.
Focusing on price action, it looks like rates are going up in a parabolic fashion, trying to revert to the mean. MACD is also flipping bullish on the monthly.
Just my opinion, good luck.
註釋
Looks like rates are being kept down for now.註釋
See new idea.
免責聲明
這些資訊和出版物並不意味著也不構成TradingView提供或認可的金融、投資、交易或其他類型的意見或建議。請在使用條款閱讀更多資訊。