US 10yr Treasury Yield and Fed Liquidity Inverse Correlation

2023年5月3日

Still kicking since beginning of 2022.

Higher for longer

2023年5月8日

註釋

Nice print today, victory is not being declared yet. Ton of volatility still. Hard to go long the TLT when this is playing out.

2023年5月22日

註釋

chugging towards 4.00%, liquidity is finicky right now, but is still trending downwards. If you check the WRBWFRBL fed liabilities draining res balances, liquidity is actually ticking up. Should get interesting. Like this correlation tho.

2023年6月1日

註釋

debt ceiling deal is close to in the bag, yields coming down makes sense here unless senate doesnt pass it

2023年7月27日

註釋

still playing out here. i know the fed liquidity doesnt update, but it still tracks.

2023年7月29日

註釋

lol rip TLT hodlers

2023年8月16日

註釋

again, rip TLT hodlers

2023年8月16日

註釋

RIPPPPPPPP

2023年9月25日

註釋

its so over for TLT bulls. couldnt be more over