看空

$USDCAD: Lagging oil...

已更新

I plotted inverse oil here vs , it seems there's a nice opportunity for a big short to close that spread. I'm long and short from earlier today, now made some time to post the weekly signal in , which is cooking here. If price breaks 1.24603, a weekly down trend with a target @ 1.16536 will be active, predicting a 18 week decline is setting up. Stop loss for this setup should be a bit above the light red horizontal line on chart.

Best of luck,

Cheers.

Ivan.

交易進行

註釋

This one isn't doing much yet, action in the Yen is surpassing that in the , oil moved up but once again under performing it today...I'm holding and waiting.

註釋

Holding USDCAD...

註釋

Daily target hit:

Weekly is still valid, so, holding it...

註釋

I correct myself, the big signal here is in the monthly timeframe, not weekly.
The local weekly trend is smaller, and part of the swing from the last top 8 weeks ago.

Here it is in monthly scale, in all its glory, plotted vs inverse oil.

註釋

4 more weeks to go before consolidation in weekly scale. (this can trigger a monthly signal, which might justify holding it)

手動結束交易

Banked it here, will wait for a new daily set up to rejoin, the weekly trend is active, monthly not yet. Oil daily trend expires in 1 day, some consolidation in oil related names is possible.

註釋

It did go lower so far, didn't give me a chance to rejoin.

交易進行

Back in the saddle, again. I mean, continuation signal.

註釋

The long signal that popped later worked, after the short was stopped out again. I didn't update this here, my bad. I did trade it, but caught half the move only. Tricky moves lately.