USD/CHF: wave analysis

The pair may fall.

On the 4-hour chart, a local correction developed as the second wave of the higher level ii of 1, shaped as a flat, and the formation of the wave iii of 1 started. Now, the first wave of the lower level (i) of iii is developing, within which the wave iii of (i) has formed, and the local correction iv of (i) is developing. If the assumption is correct, after the end of the correction, the pair will fall to the levels of 0.9656–0.9556. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.0029.

Main scenario

Short positions will become relevant during the correction, below the level of 1.0029 with the targets at 0.9656–0.9556. Implementation period: 7 days and more.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 1.0029 will let the pair grow to the levels of 1.0121–1.0230.

Scenario

Timeframe Weekly
Recommendation SELL
Entry Point 0.9886
Take Profit 0.9656, 0.9556
Stop Loss 1.0029
Key Levels 0.9556, 0.9656, 1.0029, 1.0121, 1.0230

Alternative scenario

Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 1.0035
Take Profit 1.0121, 1.0230
Stop Loss 0.9975
Key Levels 0.9556, 0.9656, 1.0029, 1.0121, 1.0230