USD/JPY Short Idea

2020年1月9日

I've been short risk pairs for the past 12 months or so and as I see it at the minute there is no reason to change my views. IMO The market has gotten a little ahead of itself after Trump stepped back from War with Iran yesterday. For me there are still numerous risks ahead in the coming months, Manufacturing is still winding down in most major economies (last weeks ISM number was the lowest in a decade) the Iran situation along with whatever is going on with North Korea poses surprise risk factors, Brexit is not a done deal yet and lets not mention whatever the Fed is doing in the Repo market which although nobody seems to be talking about it, seems highly unusual. So with all that in mind I will start a small short position here with an add at the daily trend line resistance, if we continue higher from there, I will wait until the 61.8 daily Fib retracement before I scale in completely.