SroshMayi

USDJPY WEEKLY OUTLOOK

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SroshMayi 已更新   
FX:USDJPY   美元 / 日圓
### Weekly Market Outlook

Monday: The week begins quietly with a U.S. bank holiday in observance of Memorial Day, leading to subdued financial markets.

Tuesday: Focus shifts to Japan for the release of the BoJ core CPI y/y. In the United States, the CB Consumer Confidence data will be closely monitored.

Wednesday: Key inflation data from Australia will be released, offering insights into the RBA's upcoming monetary policy decisions.

Thursday: A series of significant U.S. economic indicators will be published, including preliminary GDP q/q figures, unemployment claims, and pending home sales. These data points are crucial for understanding the U.S. economic trajectory.

Friday: The week concludes with several important releases. Japan will report its Tokyo core CPI y/y and industrial production data. The eurozone will release its CPI figures, the final print before the next ECB meeting. In the United States, the core PCE price index m/m, personal income m/m, and personal spending m/m data will be released, providing a comprehensive view of recent consumer activity.

Throughout the week, several FOMC members are scheduled to speak, potentially offering insights into future monetary policy. Additionally, Barclays suggests that month-end rebalancing might signal strong dollar selling, a factor to consider in trading decisions.

In the U.S., CB Consumer Confidence is expected to decline from 97.0 to 96.1. Analysts at Wells Fargo highlight a discrepancy: consumer spending has recently increased, while consumer confidence has declined since the beginning of the year, reaching its lowest level since 2022. This decline in confidence may stem from persistent concerns about rising prices, despite a drop in inflation from its peak. Additionally, a slight rise in unemployment has contributed to a less optimistic economic outlook.


Technical Analysis:
The price continues to experience bullish pressure towards 157.970, with a potential further rise to 159.820 upon breaking this level.
A correction to 156.590 is possible before resuming the bullish trend. The bearish scenario will be triggered if the support line at 156.590 is broken, potentially leading to a drop to 155.940 and 155.445

  • Pivot line: 156.590
  • Resistance line: 157.970, 159.82, 161.820
  • Support line: 155.950, 155.450, 154.700

    The expected trading range is between support 155.450 and Resistance 157.970


    previous weekly idea:
評論:
The price reached our target of about +75 pip and still running to reach our full target we mentioned is about 157.970


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