FX:USDJPY   美元 / 日圓
USD
1203 4 54
usd
Medium strong fresh supply zone ahead, possible retracement, a short opportunity.

Stuff to remember:

— First look for significant move, then follow it to its origins where you might find a suitable level to evaluate further

— Make sure the initial move is significant on the same timeframe as the one you use for viewing your candidate level most clearly

— Check the distance that price traveled before the trend ended, longer distances mean larger initial imbalances and improved probabilities in the future

— The strong initial move can contain a few small retracements but not so many that make this move slow and weak

— Avoid opposing levels on the same and immediately higher timeframes, prefer to have a clear road ahead for your trade to run

— Make sure your level is placed correctly (low for Demand, high for Supply) in relation to the big picture's important tops and bottoms

— Trading the first return of price to a valid "fresh" level carries the highest probabilities due to the larger imbalance

— A valid level is considered "fresh" if price has not returned to it since its creation. It has nothing to do with how old the level is

— Trading only the first return of price to a valid, properly evaluated level can greatly increase your win ratio. Trading second or other subsequent returns will only dilute your trading edge.
交易結束:目標達成
Zoom out... The candels are only important in climatic zones...
The trees ... the forest... how was it?... :)
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No offense, really like your basic educational stuff, so much value there.

But, messages like "Trade closed: target reached", without calling your entry, stop-loss and closing levels in advance, take a lot of credibility from you.
The retracement here was very small, so either you go for very bad risk-return ratios or I miss something.

Again, no offense, just my personal impression of THIS specific idea/trade and the communication around it.

Regards, Andreas
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Tradewonk fxstudent299
@fxstudent299, my target is always minimum 1:1.5 of the blue zone. Sometimes after it hit 1:1.5, i set it to break even, and take profit at 1:3/4/5 ect. In that case i took profit already at 1:1.5 because the zone is not very strong.
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Its going up to 114.257 then sell it.
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