Buy above 111.42. Stop loss at 110.60. Take profit at 112.85.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has dropped perfectly to our inverse head and shoulder buying level as expected and we continue to expect a bullish move above 111.42 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, neckline support) for a push up to 112.85 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap resistance).
RSI (55) similarly sees pullback support above the 47% level which is a good sign of a bounce we’re expecting above 111.42.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving USD today is the U.S. ISM Manufacturing survey. It is one of the biggest market moving economic releases because of its Prices Paid and Employment subcomponents which reflect sentiment towards inflation and labor conditions - two of the market's most significant health indicators. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. We’re expecting forecasts of a decrease which means a bearish USD is expected, this goes in line with our bearish USDJPY strategy view.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has dropped perfectly to our inverse head and shoulder buying level as expected and we continue to expect a bullish move above 111.42 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, neckline support) for a push up to 112.85 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap resistance).
RSI (55) similarly sees pullback support above the 47% level which is a good sign of a bounce we’re expecting above 111.42.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving USD today is the U.S. ISM Manufacturing survey. It is one of the biggest market moving economic releases because of its Prices Paid and Employment subcomponents which reflect sentiment towards inflation and labor conditions - two of the market's most significant health indicators. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. We’re expecting forecasts of a decrease which means a bearish USD is expected, this goes in line with our bearish USDJPY strategy view.