The recent increase in Japan's GDP for the second quarter may have contributed to the Japanese yen's (JPY) Friday rise versus the US dollar (USD). This strengthens the case for a prospective Bank of Japan (BoJ) interest rate hike in the near future.
As the US Dollar weakens due to declining Treasury yields, the USD/JPY pair moves lower. Moreover, as per the CME FedWatch tool, traders completely factor in a 25 basis point rate cut by the US Federal Reserve intended for September.
Technical Analysis: USD/JPY declines to 148.50
On the daily timeframe, the USD/JPY pair is trading at roughly 148.80 on Friday; it is in a downward trend as it is below the 72-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
Regarding support levels, the 72-EMA on the 4-hour timeframe, or 148.450, could provide the USD/JPY pair with instant support. The support level at 147.408 will be the pair's next target if it breaks below it. A decline below this level might confirm the bearish view and drive the price down to the seven-month low of 141.69, which was set on August 5.
To the upside, the USD/JPY pair may target the 72-day EMA at 153.833, then the immediate barrier at 150.875. There's also a chance to test the resistance level at 154.50, which has moved from previous throwback support to present pullback resistance.
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