USDJPY: Increase expected but watch end of week JPY Fundamentals

As we see the DXY continue to push up thanks to the fundamentals and potent9ial for a 0.5% rate hike, I'm expecting this pair to continue to push up.

Key fundamentals out of Japan this week with inflation data on Thursday, there's also a speech on Friday by incoming Governor Ueda, not expecting policy comment, but if we get some it will likely have an impact on USD and JPY pairs.

Depending on the DXY this week, and some weakness I'm expecting to continue for JPY based on JPYWCU, I'd expect we may reach the 137.5 region / where the 50MA and 100MA look about to cross, and then a drop / retracement.

We saw a bearish pinbar on the daily on Friday, which does suggest a drop first, however I think this could be misleading due to the USD sell-off on Friday ahead of the long weekend.

I'll be getting in with a bullish indicator on a LTF, and then out around 137 or end of day Thursday (ahead of the JPY CPI), whichever comes first.

Whatever I expect volatility at the end of the week for this pair, it could drop very quickly with the fundamentals so I'll trade carefully and book profits!

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Closing this one, think DXY is at a turning point!