Impending “Death Cross” lures Crude Oil sellers

6月24日

Crude Oil struggles to defend the previous two-week uptrend early Monday, after reversing from a seven-week high on Friday. Even so, a 13-day-old rising support line restricts the black gold’s immediate downside to around $80.30. Also challenging the energy sellers are the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14) conditions, not overbought. However, the looming “Death Cross”, a moving average crossover of the 200-SMA to the 50-SMA suggesting a sell-off, joins the firmer US Dollar to lure the WTI crude oil bears. It’s worth noting, however, that the $80.00 threshold and the SMA convergence of around $79.30 will act as the final defenses of the Oil buyers before giving control to the sellers who can aim for the previous monthly low of nearly $76.20 and then the monthly bottom surrounding $72.40.

On the flip side, a daily closing beyond the latest peak of $81.75 will aim for the mid-March swing high near $83.10. Following that, late April’s top close to 84.42 and multiple hurdles near $85.00 could test the WTI crude oil buyers before directing them to the yearly high of $87.60. In a case where the energy buyers occupy the driver’s seat past $87.60, the $90.00 psychological magnet and last annual high of $95.00 should gain the attention.

To sum up, Crude Oil buyers should wait for a fresh monthly high before adding new positions while the sellers are likely to enter beneath $80.00 and can portray a short-term downside.