Continue to short crude oil

WTI crude oil was trading around $73.35 on Wednesday. WTI crude oil prices fell slightly on reports that Hezbollah and Israel may cease fire. However, concerns about possible attacks on Iran's oil infrastructure may limit its downside.

From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend of crude oil is that the price crosses the moving average system, and the original medium-term objective trend changes downward to a conversion rhythm, and the bullish momentum is strong. From the subjective trend, the current trend is still in the secondary rhythm adjustment range. According to the law of alternation between primary and secondary, the subjective trend still maintains a downward rhythm. Pay attention to the medium-term key resistance of 78.40. If it breaks through, the medium-term trend will end the decline and gradually enter the rising rhythm.

The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil has turned to a downward trend. The oil price crosses the moving average system, and the moving average system has not yet formed a divergent downward arrangement. The short-term objective trend is in a conversion rhythm. In the morning, the oil price fluctuated narrowly around 74, and the bearish momentum was more dominant. Looking at the 4-hour level, the oil price is just supported by the 55-day moving average, and the support effectiveness is high, and the short-term objective trend within the week is still bullish. It is expected that the short-term trend of crude oil will rebound upwards, and the overall trend will be mainly consolidation within the range.

Today: Long at 73.80, stop loss: 72.90, target 76.00.