WMT Down After Earnings Beat?

2023年8月19日

Walmart beat earnings but still saw a big drop on Thurs, along with US equities as a whole, but saw some positive gains Friday. With Walmart near the top of its range while US equites have been pulling back, WMT has strong relative strength. If US equities pullback finds a bottom soon, WMT could help lead the way.

Key notes from earnings

• Walmart reported a strong quarter with Q3 revenues rising by 5.7% to $161.6 billion, surpassing analyst predictions.
  
• Adjusted earnings stood at $1.84 per share, outperforming expectations of $1.71.
  
• Net income for the fiscal second quarter surged by 53% YoY to $7.89 billion.
  
• Same-store U.S. sales and e-commerce sales grew by 6.4% and 24% respectively.
  
• Walmart anticipates a 4% to 4.5% rise in full-year consolidated net sales.
  
• Share value increased by approximately 12%, marginally outpacing the S&P 500 Index.
  

Consumer Trends and Economic Factors

• Eased price pressures are benefitting U.S. consumers, while challenges like rising fuel costs and high borrowing remain.
  
• Walmart resonates with consumers looking for relief from persistent inflation with its value proposition.
  
• There's a noticeable uptrend in the purchase of grocery staples and "in-home" options as dining out decreases.
  
• Walmart notes broader economic challenges, including surging energy costs and tightened lending, impacting spending behaviors.
  
• US consumers adjust budgets due to obligations like student loan repayments.
  
• Walmart's emphasis on staples and competitive prices makes it resilient against changing consumer preferences and economic factors.
  

Industry Environment

• While Target exceeded profit expectations, it reported its first revenue decline in six years.
  
• Home Depot experienced a dip in sales as consumer focus shifted to smaller home projects.
  
• Innovations like AI software from Afresh Technologies are being utilized by grocers like Albertsons to streamline demand forecasting and reduce food wastage.
  
• Walmart is enhancing its Walmart+ subscription service to stay competitive against Amazon Prime, including slashing prices for government-assisted customers.
  
• Key leadership changes announced include the retirement of CEO Judith McKenna and the introduction of new roles for Kath McLay and Chris Nicholas.
  

Company Outlook

• Boosted by grocery and online growth, Walmart elevated its full-year sales and earnings forecast.
  
• The firm's Q2 results showcased robust earnings and sales growth.
  
• There's a discernible transition in product focus from general merchandise to grocery and health/wellness items.
  
• Improvements in inventory management led to an enhanced gross margin, while operating cash flow and free cash flow witnessed significant increases.