XAUUSD One step away from a major sell-off

Gold (XAUUSD) is testing the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up that started a month ago (March 20). The previous two times it hit this line, the price rebounded and a new Higher High was made.

This time however the price has already been rejected twice on the 4H MA50, which keeps the short-term bearish (until it closes a 4H candle above it). With the 4H RSI oversold below 30.000 for the first time since March 07, we expect at least a short-term rebound towards the 4H MA50 and target 1995. If the candle closes above the 4H MA50, we will extend our buying strategy towards the top of the Channel Up, targeting 2060. If however we see a candle closing below the Channel Up, we will go short, targeting 1940 initially and upon a new 4H MA50 rejection, 1900 on the 0.618 Fibonacci.


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