THERE ARE 3 UPCOMING EVENTS THAT ARE EXTREMELY CRUCIAL TO THE TIMING OF THIS SPIKE.
Notes:
1. Blue vertical line is FOMC, 7/28.
2. Black line is NFP, 8/6.
3. Red line is CPI, 8/11.
4. First of all, there may or may not be another mini spike before we go down to my expectation of a low PRIOR TO 7/28 FOMC.
5. Therefore, high AFTER 7/28-8/1.
6. In the unlikely case that a high (1825-ish) happens before FOMC, then FOMC would be rug pull (THIS IS A GIANT WRENCH IN OUR PLANS).
7. However unlikely it may be, IN THIS CASE WE WOULD HAVE TO REASSESS FED FUNDAMENTALS bc that implies a REAL CHANGE IN MONETARY POLICY.
8. If the swing happen like I am expecting (LOW PRIOR TO FOMC, SPIKE ON FOMC), there SHOULD BE another relative low PRIOR TO NFP.
9. This would be the last chance for a STRONG ENTRY.
10. For those that are ultra conservative, and want to see price action after NFP...
>>IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED TO TAKE THE ENTRY PRIOR TO CPI (WHICH IS 8/11) ON 8/9 OR 8/10 (BC 8/7 AND 8/8 IS A WEEKEND).
11. As it stands target is 1925-1950 by 8/18.
12. Again for the purpose of our 50-100x trade plan, please do not buy options UNTIL I SPECIFICALLY ANNOUNCE IT.
13. I have a change of mind in term of acceptable risk for pre-FOMC entries.
14. It should be only 1 ENTRY, 50% OF FUNDS, AT THE MONEY, JAN XX, 2022 EXPIRATION, we will buy either 7/26 or 7/27.
15. This eliminates shenanigans risk that have tendency to to occur around MAJOR INFLECTION POINTS LIKE THE NEXT 2 WEEKS.
16. ALL FOR NOW.
Notes:
1. Blue vertical line is FOMC, 7/28.
2. Black line is NFP, 8/6.
3. Red line is CPI, 8/11.
4. First of all, there may or may not be another mini spike before we go down to my expectation of a low PRIOR TO 7/28 FOMC.
5. Therefore, high AFTER 7/28-8/1.
6. In the unlikely case that a high (1825-ish) happens before FOMC, then FOMC would be rug pull (THIS IS A GIANT WRENCH IN OUR PLANS).
7. However unlikely it may be, IN THIS CASE WE WOULD HAVE TO REASSESS FED FUNDAMENTALS bc that implies a REAL CHANGE IN MONETARY POLICY.
8. If the swing happen like I am expecting (LOW PRIOR TO FOMC, SPIKE ON FOMC), there SHOULD BE another relative low PRIOR TO NFP.
9. This would be the last chance for a STRONG ENTRY.
10. For those that are ultra conservative, and want to see price action after NFP...
>>IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED TO TAKE THE ENTRY PRIOR TO CPI (WHICH IS 8/11) ON 8/9 OR 8/10 (BC 8/7 AND 8/8 IS A WEEKEND).
11. As it stands target is 1925-1950 by 8/18.
12. Again for the purpose of our 50-100x trade plan, please do not buy options UNTIL I SPECIFICALLY ANNOUNCE IT.
13. I have a change of mind in term of acceptable risk for pre-FOMC entries.
14. It should be only 1 ENTRY, 50% OF FUNDS, AT THE MONEY, JAN XX, 2022 EXPIRATION, we will buy either 7/26 or 7/27.
15. This eliminates shenanigans risk that have tendency to to occur around MAJOR INFLECTION POINTS LIKE THE NEXT 2 WEEKS.
16. ALL FOR NOW.
註釋
*** IF ALL WORK OUT, WE EXIT THE JAN 2022 OPTIONS ON 7/30 OR 8/2, PROBABLY 7/30. THE EXTRA FUNDS WOULD BE USED FOR INSURANCE SHOULD OUR POST-NFP PLANS DON'T WORK OUT. ***註釋
*** IT IS MY EXPECTATION THAT ALL THIS WORK OUT AS PLANNED. I HAVE ZERO REASON TO BELIEVE OTHERWISE AT THIS POINT IN TIME. ***
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