DEMO 1-1, 4 MIN BAR

We will use this until we need another one.

評論:

2/19, 2:18 PM ET, I'm not expecting decisiveness until Wednesday
a) remember, it can announce blue, but finish orange
b) and vice versa, too
c) floor is not that deep, so spiking down 30 completely realistic

評論:

2/19, 2:27 PM ET

評論:

2:38 PM, maybe:

評論:

a) custom mix is not magic bullet
b) we can just prove it continuously

評論:

c) 4 min chart is the insurance for the refresh rate
d) higher refresh rate is a hardware problem, just pay for the hardware (call it in)

評論:

3:02 PM, they left already so let's call it a day:

評論:

a) from my end though, equally convincing
b) I agree about 2135 candle, but I disagreed that we haven't seen it

評論:

2/19, 7:06 PM ET, 2016.xx, nothing decisive yet:

評論:

評論:

a) if you replay DEMO-1 (link below), IT LITERALLY HAS NOT MOVED
b) so the solution is to refresh 90-min bar forecast...
c) by staying on top of 4-min bar

評論:

d) the question of course is how often do you need to refresh 4-min bar?
e) variable rate is 1-4 times a day
f) or set flat fee per refresh makes WAY MORE SENSE

評論:

8:56, PM ET, 2016.81, Neutral again, not really bullish.
a) because the bounce is late
b) it's better than no bounce
c) but the trend position so considerably weaker and more difficult to break higher
d) hence neutral position
e) and it's also neutral enough to make a new draft a waste of time
f) if this changes in 3 hours, I'll add Demo 1-2

評論:

評論:

a) for chart above, if you go with "Infinite Moving Average" it should be a bullish break
b) but that linear regression says THAT SHOULD HAVE HAPPEN ALREADY
c) why the wait?
d) the odds for bearish outcome is approaching levels of for last Thursday
e) wait much longer, it would EXCEED THAT
f) if bulls hesitate another 16-32 hours, I don't think anything will save them here

評論:

g) so I'm out at 10:53 PM ET, 1861.55 and it looks like bulls want to make a push for it
h) I don't trust them
i) my read is they only have enough to "drag out the colllapse"
j) which would look like:

評論:

評論:

k) and none of the base 3 look good (I just can't call long here):

評論:

評論:

2/20, 1:39 AM, TO ANSWER CONTEXT QUESTION:
a) if I have time I'll look into it more
b) but that would mean bitcoin moves to 36000 (from 52000 now)
c) and sp500 would move under 4700 (5000 now)
d) I am not "forecasting" those targets, just answering "context"question

評論:

評論:

2:45 AM, For bulls to change my mind, give me 9 more boxes here:

a) they have first four
b) but BARELY
c) you have to squint for it, that's a no no
d) so 9-10 more boxes
e) then recon AND THEN gear up for it

評論:

f) so at the fourth black arrow
g) and First Majestic, f that
h) haven't been that low in 8 years
i) you are still 3-6 months MINIMUM from that entry, IF EVER

評論:

j) there is one annoying requirement of getting rich, is to do it while you are still alive
k) preferably still young like 40 or 50, bc 70 is 70

評論:

2/20: 8:04 AM

評論:

8:54 AM 2030.XX, link for 1-2 is below in related ideas below
a) for reference, 4-min bar charts only show up as private links
b) so it shows up in "related ideas"
c) or as a chart on DEMO-1, 90-MIN BAR, VARIABLE REFRESH RATE