XAUUSD 4H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
OVERALL TREND
📉 DOWNTREND — A strong reversal occurred after tapping the Pivot High near 3,500, triggering heavy sell pressure as signaled by the dynamic resistance and confirmed by a sharp momentum shift.
🔴RESISTANCE ZONE
🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS
🟢SUPPORT ZONE
📉OSCILLATOR INSIGHTS
📉MOVING AVERAGE SUMMARY
🤓STRUCTURAL NOTES
TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎
🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
CONSERVATIVE (Trend-Following):
— Entry: Sell below 3,315
— TP: 3,228 / 3,164 / 3,065
— SL: Above 3,418
AGGRESSIVE (Reversal Scout):
— Entry: Buy at 3,041 / 2,983
— TP: 3,164 / 3,228
— SL: Below 2,956
“Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”
OVERALL TREND
📉 DOWNTREND — A strong reversal occurred after tapping the Pivot High near 3,500, triggering heavy sell pressure as signaled by the dynamic resistance and confirmed by a sharp momentum shift.
🔴RESISTANCE ZONE
- 🔴 3,500.000 — SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH
- 🔴 3,473.328 — SELL ORDER 2
- 🔴 3,418.942 — SELL ORDER 1
🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS
- 🎯 3,315.400 — SELL ORDER & TP1
- 🎯 3,228.382 — SELL ORDER & TP2 | Mid-Pivot
- 🎯 3,164.297 — SELL ORDER & TP3
- 🎯 3,065.920 — EXIT SELL & TP4
🟢SUPPORT ZONE
- 🟢 3,041.597 — BUY Order 1 |
- 🟢 2,983.746 — BUY Order 2 |
- 🟢 2,956.560 — Dynamic Support | Reversal Watch
📉OSCILLATOR INSIGHTS
- RSI at 38.17 — Weak, nearing oversold
- Stoch %K at 11.77 — Near bottom, possible bounce
- CCI at −124 — Deeply oversold, buy signal building
- MACD & Momentum — Both signaling strong bearish continuation
- Stochastic RSI flat at 0.000 — Indicates a bottoming potential
📉MOVING AVERAGE SUMMARY
- All 10–50 MAs are SELL signals — Short-term sentiment bearish
- 100 & 200 EMAs/SMA — Still supportive (BUY), suggesting macro trend not broken
- VWMA and Ichimoku Baseline confirm short-term bearish control
🤓STRUCTURAL NOTES
- Rejection from 3,500-level created a sharp fall back inside the previous range
- Short-term bearish control confirmed by a clean break below 3,315 (TP1)
- Major confluence area forming near 3,041–2,983 as next test zone
- Volume profile favors bounce if buyers defend 2,956–3,041 range
TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎
- 📉 Sell Bias active below 3,315 with deep pullback toward 3,041–2,983 likely
- 📈 High-Risk Long Reversal possible near 2,956 support if volume spikes and momentum shifts
- 👀 Watch Hull MA (3,278) — rising into falling price = potential compression setup
🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
CONSERVATIVE (Trend-Following):
— Entry: Sell below 3,315
— TP: 3,228 / 3,164 / 3,065
— SL: Above 3,418
AGGRESSIVE (Reversal Scout):
— Entry: Buy at 3,041 / 2,983
— TP: 3,164 / 3,228
— SL: Below 2,956
“Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”
Professor C. E. Ward
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