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Gold Hits the Ceiling and Slides — All Eyes on Support Zones

XAUUSD 4H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

OVERALL TREND
📉 DOWNTREND — A strong reversal occurred after tapping the Pivot High near 3,500, triggering heavy sell pressure as signaled by the dynamic resistance and confirmed by a sharp momentum shift.

🔴RESISTANCE ZONE

🔴 3,500.000 — SELL STOPLOSS | PIVOT HIGH
🔴 3,473.328 — SELL ORDER 2
🔴 3,418.942 — SELL ORDER 1

🎯ENTRIES & TARGETS

🎯 3,315.400 — SELL ORDER & TP1
🎯 3,228.382 — SELL ORDER & TP2 | Mid-Pivot
🎯 3,164.297 — SELL ORDER & TP3
🎯 3,065.920 — EXIT SELL & TP4

🟢SUPPORT ZONE

🟢 3,041.597 — BUY Order 1 |
🟢 2,983.746 — BUY Order 2 |
🟢 2,956.560 — Dynamic Support | Reversal Watch

📉OSCILLATOR INSIGHTS

RSI at 38.17 — Weak, nearing oversold
Stoch %K at 11.77 — Near bottom, possible bounce
CCI at −124 — Deeply oversold, buy signal building
MACD & Momentum — Both signaling strong bearish continuation
Stochastic RSI flat at 0.000 — Indicates a bottoming potential

📉MOVING AVERAGE SUMMARY

All 10–50 MAs are SELL signals — Short-term sentiment bearish
100 & 200 EMAs/SMA — Still supportive (BUY), suggesting macro trend not broken
VWMA and Ichimoku Baseline confirm short-term bearish control

🤓STRUCTURAL NOTES

Rejection from 3,500-level created a sharp fall back inside the previous range
Short-term bearish control confirmed by a clean break below 3,315 (TP1)
Major confluence area forming near 3,041–2,983 as next test zone
Volume profile favors bounce if buyers defend 2,956–3,041 range

TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎

📉 Sell Bias active below 3,315 with deep pullback toward 3,041–2,983 likely
📈 High-Risk Long Reversal possible near 2,956 support if volume spikes and momentum shifts
👀 Watch Hull MA (3,278) — rising into falling price = potential compression setup

🧪STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION

CONSERVATIVE (Trend-Following):
— Entry: Sell below 3,315
— TP: 3,228 / 3,164 / 3,065
— SL: Above 3,418

AGGRESSIVE (Reversal Scout):
— Entry: Buy at 3,041 / 2,983
— TP: 3,164 / 3,228
— SL: Below 2,956

“Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience™”